Triple Bottom Pattern: A Powerful Reversal Signal.

Triple Bottom Pattern: A Powerful Reversal Signal.

In technical analysis, chart patterns often provide clues about future price direction. One such highly effective reversal pattern is the Triple Bottom. Whether you're just starting out or already have trading experience, learning to recognize and trade the triple bottom pattern can give you an edge, especially in volatile or trend-reversal conditions.


A Triple Bottom Pattern occurs after a prolonged downtrend, signaling a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. It is formed when the price hits the same support level three times, failing to break below it, and then finally breaks out above the neckline (resistance level), confirming the reversal.

Support Level: This is a horizontal zone where price finds repeated buying interest. In a triple bottom, price touches this support three distinct times with roughly equal lows, indicating a strong demand zone.

Neckline (Resistance): The highs formed between each of the bottoms usually form a horizontal resistance, called the neckline. A breakout above this neckline is the key confirmation signal.

Breakout: The breakout happens when the price convincingly closes above the neckline, often with increased volume, indicating the bears have lost control and bulls are taking over.

How to Trade a Triple Bottom Pattern

Entry Point

  • Enter the trade when the price closes above the neckline with strong volume.
  • Look for a bullish candle that breaks the neckline and holds above it — not just a wick or intraday spike.
  • A better way can be to enter 50% of your quantity at breakout and 50% after a confirmation candle.

Target Price: There are a few ways to estimate the target:

  • Chart-based method:
    • Measure the distance from the support (bottom) to the neckline.
    • Add this height to the breakout level.
      Target = Neckline + (Neckline - Support)
  • Fibonacci Extensions or Pivot Points can also help project upper resistance levels post-breakout.
Stop-Loss Placement
  • A stop-loss can be placed just below the support (bottom of the pattern).
  • A tighter stop-loss option is the low of the breakout candle or the most recent swing low before the breakout.

Retest and Continuation After Breakout:
After a breakout, it's common for the price to retest the neckline — the former resistance now acting as support. This retest adds confidence to the breakout’s validity and offers a second opportunity to enter the trade if you missed the initial breakout.
What to Look For in a Retest:
  • The price pulls back toward the neckline but holds above it.
  • A bullish candlestick forms at or near the neckline, showing renewed buying interest.
  • Volume often contracts during the pullback and expands again when the uptrend resumes.
Continuation Confirmation:
  • A bounce from the neckline after the retest followed by a higher close signal that bulls remain in control.
  • Traders can consider adding to their position or entering afresh on the successful retest with a stop-loss just below the neckline.
This approach reduces the risk of false breakouts and allows for tighter risk management.
Additional Tips
  • Before forming the triple bottom pattern, stock must be in a downtrend.
  • Confirm the pattern with volume: Breakouts accompanied by volume expansion are more reliable.
  • Use momentum indicators like RSI or MACD to validate a potential bullish reversal.
  • Patience is key: Triple bottom patterns take time to form, so wait for full confirmation before entering.
  • Consider broader market sentiment — these patterns work best in trending or recovering markets.
Charting Exercise: Switch to a daily chart and scan for potential Triple Bottom formations. Clearly mark:
  • Three distinct troughs (bottoms) at similar price levels.
  • Neckline (resistance connecting the highs between the bottoms)
  • Entry point (breakout candle that closes above the neckline)
  • Target and stop-loss levels.
Use horizontal lines for the troughs and neckline. Measure the vertical distance from the troughs to the neckline and project it upwards from the breakout point to estimate a conservative target. Confirm the breakout with a noticeable surge in volume. If a retest of the neckline occurs, observe price action for continuation signals before considering a second entry.
Homework:
Study the following stocks and check if a Triple Bottom pattern is forming or has already played out:
1. One 97 Communications Ltd. (PAYTM)
2. SJVN Ltd. (SJVN)
You may also add the stock to your watch list to understand further price action.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purpose and does not contain any recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any financial decision.

आपली टिप्पणी द्या